New Hotel Openings Will Accelerate Late Decade.
Lodging Econometrics reported that new hotel supply growth bottomed in 2011 with the opening of only 347 Hotels/37,404 Rooms. The bottom in 2011 concluded a precipitous 75% decline in New Hotel Openings from a peak of 1,341 Hotels/154,257 Rooms established in 2008 at the onset of the Great Recession.
Since then, new supply growth has been slow and incremental. New Hotel Openings were a paltry 412 in 2012, 488 in 2013 and 557 hotels with 63,352 rooms in 2014. LE forecasts that just 726 new hotels will open in 2015 and 797 hotels in 2016. The sharpness of the decline and the prolonged nature of the economic malaise delayed the rekindling of hotel development and continues to cause sluggish supply growth.
Because the Pipeline is just beginning to breakout Total New Hotel Openings are not expected to peak until 2018-2019 as the typical hotel project takes an average of 22 months to migrate through the Pipeline before eventually opening as an addition to new supply.
About Lodging Econometrics
Lodging Econometrics (LE) is the lodging industry’s leading consulting partner for global real estate intelligence. Combining unparalleled industry experience, a real-time pulse on market trends and extensive knowledge of key decision-makers, LE delivers actionable insights that turn their clients’ business goals into timely opportunities — and drive strategic advantage.